{"id":689,"date":"2022-06-25T11:58:52","date_gmt":"2022-06-25T11:58:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/webdev.wordpress-developer.us\/tellusant\/?p=689"},"modified":"2025-04-13T22:35:04","modified_gmt":"2025-04-13T22:35:04","slug":"motores-actuales-de-la-inflacion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tellusant.com\/es\/current-inflation-drivers\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfQu\u00e9 impulsa la inflaci\u00f3n actual?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"gl np nq nr ns\">\n<p id=\"0382\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph ox oy ob mh b oz pa iz pb pc pd jd pe pf pg ph pi pj pk pl pm pn po pp pq pr gl fd\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">Inflation is the economic topic of our time. What are the current inflation drivers? We look at the role of Federal Reserve.<\/p>\n<h1 style=\"font-size: 0.2rem;\">What Drives Current Inflation?<\/h1>\n<p id=\"6aa7\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph ox oy ob mh b oz pa iz pb pc pd jd pe pf pg ph pi pj pk pl pm pn po pp pq pr gl fd\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">We use the United States to illustrate the concepts. The same mechanisms are at play in many countries.<\/p>\n<h5>Federal Reserve Actions<\/h5>\n<p id=\"0f7d\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph ox oy ob mh b oz pa iz pb pc pd jd pe pf pg ph pi pj pk pl pm pn po pp pq pr gl fd\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">Our analysis is based on monetary theory. If you inject money (the M2 measure) into the economy in excess of GDP growth, this will sooner or later lead to inflation.<\/p>\n<p id=\"cde7\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph ox oy ob mh b oz pa iz pb pc pd jd pe pf pg ph pi pj pk pl pm pn po pp pq pr gl fd\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">The Fed has radically increased the M2 (money stock) since 2020. The reason is understandable \u2014 to alleviate the impact of the pandemic on the economy. The magnitude is however troublesome.<\/p>\n<p id=\"0263\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph ox oy ob mh b oz pa iz pb pc pd jd pe pf pg ph pi pj pk pl pm pn po pp pq pr gl fd\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">The mechanism for is that the Fed buys bonds in the market, thereby boosting the size of its balance sheet and injecting cash into the economy. This is largely printed money.<\/p>\n<p id=\"1b79\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph ox oy ob mh b oz pa iz pb pc pd jd pe pf pg ph pi pj pk pl pm pn po pp pq pr gl fd\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">This interview with Jerome Powell, Federal Reserve chair, explains the concept.<\/p>\n<div id=\"wpfp_3dad810b2c71e6f050082274e478b581\" data-item=\"{&quot;sources&quot;:[{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https:\\\/\\\/youtu.be\\\/lK_rYS8L3kI&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;video\\\/youtube&quot;}],&quot;id&quot;:&quot;24&quot;,&quot;splash&quot;:&quot;https:\\\/\\\/tellusant.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/powell_splash.webp&quot;}\" class=\"flowplayer no-brand is-splash is-paused skin-custom no-svg   is-youtube\" data-button-rewind=\"1\" style=\"position:relative; max-width: 1280px; max-height: 720px; \" data-ratio=\"0.5625\" data-advance=\"false\" data-engine=\"fvyoutube\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope=\"\" itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\">\n\t<div class=\"fp-ratio\" style=\"padding-top: 56.25%\"><\/div>\n\t<img decoding=\"async\" class=\"fp-splash\" alt=\"video\" src=\"https:\/\/tellusant.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/powell_splash.webp\" style=\"position:absolute;top:0;width:100%\" \/>\n\t<div class=\"fp-ui\"><noscript>Please enable JavaScript<\/noscript><div class=\"fp-play fp-visible\"><svg class=\"fp-play-rounded-fill\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 100\"><defs><style>.a{fill:#000;opacity:0.65;}.b{fill:#fff;opacity:1.0;}<\/style><\/defs><title>play-rounded-fill<\/title><path class=\"fp-color-play\" d=\"M49.9217-.078a50,50,0,1,0,50,50A50.0564,50.0564,0,0,0,49.9217-.078Z\"\/><path class=\"b\" d=\"M35.942,35.2323c0-4.7289,3.3506-6.6637,7.446-4.2971L68.83,45.6235c4.0956,2.364,4.0956,6.2319,0,8.5977L43.388,68.91c-4.0954,2.364-7.446.43-7.446-4.2979Z\" filter=\"url(#f1)\"\/><\/svg><\/div><div class=\"fp-preload\"><b><\/b><b><\/b><b><\/b><b><\/b><\/div><\/div>\n\n<meta itemprop=\"name\" content=\"What Drives Current Inflation?\" \/>\r\n        <meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"Inflation is the economic topic of our time. What are the current inflation drivers? We look at the role of Federal Reserve. What Drives Current Inflation? We use the United&hellip;\" \/>\r\n        <meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/tellusant.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/powell_splash.webp\" \/>\r\n        <meta itemprop=\"contentURL\" content=\"https:\/\/tellusant.com\/es\/current-inflation-drivers\/\" \/>\r\n        <meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"\" \/>\n\n<\/div>\n\n<p id=\"045f\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph ox oy ob mh b oz pa iz pb pc pd jd pe pf pg ph pi pj pk pl pm pn po pp pq pr gl fd\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">The graph below shows the outcome.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"xc xd xe xf vm ny ku kv paragraph-image\">\n<div class=\"wa wb do wc ce wd\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"button\">\n<div class=\"ku kv aee\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"ce we wf c aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/1400\/1*NufwRHzzDSHqvyZKj69sEg.png\" sizes=\"(min-resolution: 4dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 50vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 4) and (max-width: 700px) 50vw, (min-resolution: 3dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 67vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 3) and (max-width: 700px) 65vw, (min-resolution: 2.5dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 80vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 2.5) and (max-width: 700px) 80vw, (min-resolution: 2dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 100vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 2) and (max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/640\/1*NufwRHzzDSHqvyZKj69sEg.png 640w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/720\/1*NufwRHzzDSHqvyZKj69sEg.png 720w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/750\/1*NufwRHzzDSHqvyZKj69sEg.png 750w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/786\/1*NufwRHzzDSHqvyZKj69sEg.png 786w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/828\/1*NufwRHzzDSHqvyZKj69sEg.png 828w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/1100\/1*NufwRHzzDSHqvyZKj69sEg.png 1100w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/1400\/1*NufwRHzzDSHqvyZKj69sEg.png 1400w\" alt=\"Tellusant\u200a\u2014\u200aFederal Reserve balance sheet (inflation; CEO; management; global business)\" width=\"700\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<h5>M2 money supply<\/h5>\n<p id=\"9441\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph ox oy ob mh b oz pa iz pb pc pd jd pe pf pg ph pi pj pk pl pm pn po pp pq pr gl fd\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">This has a multiplier effect on M2 which has grown broadly proportionally with the Fed\u2019s cash injection.<\/p>\n<p id=\"c90c\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph ox oy ob mh b oz pa iz pb pc pd jd pe pf pg ph pi pj pk pl pm pn po pp pq pr gl fd\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">This growth in M2 has only to some extent fueled inflation so far. Instead, the velocity of M2 has slowed dramatically. Historically, <strong class=\"mh gb\">M2 velocity<\/strong> has been around 1.8x. Lately it was around 1.4x, and slowed to 1.1x during the pandemic.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"xc xd xe xf vm ny ku kv paragraph-image\">\n<div class=\"wa wb do wc ce wd\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"button\">\n<div class=\"ku kv aef\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"ce we wf c aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/1400\/1*iw80zeuupxONk6SMmlcE0Q.png\" sizes=\"(min-resolution: 4dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 50vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 4) and (max-width: 700px) 50vw, (min-resolution: 3dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 67vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 3) and (max-width: 700px) 65vw, (min-resolution: 2.5dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 80vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 2.5) and (max-width: 700px) 80vw, (min-resolution: 2dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 100vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 2) and (max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/640\/1*iw80zeuupxONk6SMmlcE0Q.png 640w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/720\/1*iw80zeuupxONk6SMmlcE0Q.png 720w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/750\/1*iw80zeuupxONk6SMmlcE0Q.png 750w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/786\/1*iw80zeuupxONk6SMmlcE0Q.png 786w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/828\/1*iw80zeuupxONk6SMmlcE0Q.png 828w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/1100\/1*iw80zeuupxONk6SMmlcE0Q.png 1100w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/1400\/1*iw80zeuupxONk6SMmlcE0Q.png 1400w\" alt=\"Tellusant\u200a\u2014\u200aU.S. money velocity (inflation; CEO; management; global business)\" width=\"700\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p id=\"2aea\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph ox oy ob mh b oz pa iz pb pc pd jd pe pf pg ph pi pj pk pl pm pn po pp pq pr gl fd\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">Essentially, there is too much money chasing too few investment opportunities. This creates inflationary pressure.<\/p>\n<p id=\"15b6\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph ox oy ob mh b oz pa iz pb pc pd jd pe pf pg ph pi pj pk pl pm pn po pp pq pr gl fd\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">What if M2 velocity had stayed at 1.4x since 2020? This gives an indication of how strong the latent inflationary pressure is.<\/p>\n<p id=\"21e9\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph ox oy ob mh b oz pa iz pb pc pd jd pe pf pg ph pi pj pk pl pm pn po pp pq pr gl fd\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">Calculating backwards from the formula GDP = P\u22c5Q = M\u22c5V we get P = 1.4\u22c5M\/Q [P = price; Q = quantity; M = money stock M2] we find:<\/p>\n<p id=\"fb32\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph ox oy ob mh b oz pa iz pb pc pd jd pe pf pg ph pi pj pk pl pm pn po pp pq pr gl fd\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">The latent inflation is around 15% per year since 2020. That is, significantly above the current 9% rate.<\/p>\n<p id=\"dd76\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph ox oy ob mh b oz pa iz pb pc pd jd pe pf pg ph pi pj pk pl pm pn po pp pq pr gl fd\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">From a corporate perspective, it suggests strategic plans should be adjusted to take into account an inflationary environment, and more broadly a wobbly economy.<\/p>\n<p data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">Understanding the current inflation drivers is a starting point for this.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<div class=\"o dx pt pu nd pv\" style=\"text-align: center;\" role=\"separator\">\n<hr \/>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"gl np nq nr ns\">\n<p id=\"1824\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph ox oy ob mh b oz pa iz pb pc pd jd pe pf pg ph pi pj pk pl pm pn po pp pq pr gl fd\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">Tellusant\u2019s expertise and suite of products help companies handle high inflation effectively. To learn more, contact us by filling out this <a href=\"https:\/\/tellusant.com\/contact-tellusant-now\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">form<\/a> or by sending an email to <a href=\"mailto:info@tellusant.com\">info@tellusant.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o dx pt pu nd pv\" role=\"separator\">\n<hr \/>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"gl np nq nr ns\">\n<p id=\"0afb\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph ox oy ob mh b oz pa iz pb pc pd jd pe pf pg ph pi pj pk pl pm pn po pp pq pr gl fd\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/monetarypolicy\/bst_recenttrends.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Federal Reserve total assets <\/a>(H.4.1.1)<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/series\/WM2NS\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">M2<\/a> (WM2NS)<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/series\/M2V\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">M2 velocity<\/a> (M2V)<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/series\/GDP\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Current GDP<\/a> (GDP)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"position: static !important;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"position: static !important;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"position: static !important;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"position: static !important;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"position: static !important;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"position: static !important;\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La inflaci\u00f3n es el tema econ\u00f3mico de nuestro tiempo. Est\u00e1 impulsada en gran medida por la pol\u00edtica monetaria de la Reserva Federal y otros bancos centrales. \u00bfQu\u00e9 causa esta inflaci\u00f3n?<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1040,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"cybocfi_hide_featured_image":"","footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-689","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ideas-thoughts-category"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Current Inflation Drivers | Tellusant<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Inflation is the economic topic of our time. What are the current inflation drivers? 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